Worries Intensify Over Potential Outbreak of Civil War in South Sudan
Growing anxieties are emerging that the fledgling African state could slide once again into devastating conflict amid a politically charged treason trial against ousted Vice-President Riek Machar.
Rising Strains
His affiliated party is calling for “regime change” following indictments were issued with grave allegations such as murder.
The opposition criticized the charges as a “targeted persecution” intending to sabotage a previous ceasefire deal that halted a lengthy civil war.
Concurrently, extra forces from an adjacent country are stationed strategic locations to bolster the current administration authority.
Historical Roots
This country achieved sovereignty from its northern neighbor after decades of struggle led by the key political group.
In 2013, conflict broke out after President Salva Kiir removed Machar from his post, accusing him of planning an overthrow.
Hostilities caused approximately 400,000 deaths and forced out a large portion of the population.
Current Crisis
Unrest erupted in March after skirmishes took place involving militia groups and state forces.
Subsequently, key figures were placed under restrictions on allegations of fomenting rebellion.
SPLM-IO later called the government as a “oppressive leadership” and urged “a new government”.
Accord Implementation
Major parts of the political settlement are still pending, such as the integration of militias and national army.
A planned tribunal to prosecute perpetrators for atrocities remains unrealized.
Voting planned for the past were delayed, and a new constitution remains incomplete.
Corruption Reports
A United Nations report alleges government figures of diverting vast sums in oil revenues.
Money allocated to essential sectors supposedly used for questionable projects.
National leaders disputes these allegations, pointing to economic struggles to conflict, climate issues, and falling oil prices.
Likely Outcomes
Experts warn that the situation might escalate into renewed conflict, especially amid the presence of Ugandan soldiers.
Neighboring conflicts introduces additional risk to a precarious environment.
A timeline is announced for Machar’s trial, but preparations indicate both sides are anticipating a prolonged struggle.
